【房】有人觉得下个经济危机要来了吗，新加坡房地产会如何RT....
该帖荣获当日十大第5，奖励楼主10分以及15华新币，时间：2019-08-15 22:00:07。该帖荣获当日十大第8，奖励楼主4分以及6华新币，时间：2019-08-16 22:00:10。
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政府早有一大堆政策摆着
无非是看什么时候出手罢了。比如再来一次日光盘，那么有可能导致再颁布一个降温措施。目前虽然已经出现了卖的扑街的楼盘，还没看见政府要出手“救市“，就依然上涨的交易量，他们觉得不需要升温措施吧。
97的危机大概率不会重演，以坡目前的家庭收入水平，还有存款水平，别说组屋，公寓依然没超过可负担水平。别忘了政府并不需要确保100%或者50%的人口买的起公寓，目前依然78%左右人口住在组屋，他们只需要确保 top 20%的家庭买的起公寓就好，虽然这些人买二手组屋和EC并不受限制。去年top 20% 收入家庭底线大概是一年200K， 接近华新“贫困线”...
降温也好、升温也好，坡的房产政策并不是一拍脑袋想出来的（大马可能真的就是拍了一下屁股想的），而是经过反复讨论考虑了各种情况，提前制定的，早就摆在部长的桌上，无非是等待一个契机他们觉得有必要就挑一个宣布出来。
别的不说，假如ABSD减半会不会买气大增？政府加税时候开发商会打折，政府减税时候你觉得开发商会不会涨价？屋主会不会涨价？？
对于刚需来说，如果不是身份的限制，越等估计只会越买不起。去年加税5%，首付加5%之后，新闻标题的非有地私宅的价格指数下跌貌似没有超过1%，不管是第一套还是第二套买家，你觉得是更买的起了还是更买不起了？
Based on caveats lodged, we saw a -57% reduction in resale volume from 3,951 units in 2Q2018 to 1,689 units in 2Q2019. New sales volume on the other hand, fell by just -3%, with 2,215 units in 2Q2018 to 2,147 units in 2Q2019.
Government reduced private housing supply under the GLS programme for 2H2019 by 15%.
Despite that, home prices remained relatively stable, with the price index rising by just 0.5% over the last two quarters of 2018, and registered just a slight dip in the first quarter of the year. But in a surprising turn of events, home prices unexpectedly rose again in 2Q2019
As mentioned above, after two consecutive quarters of decline, private home prices rose unexpectedly in 2Q2019, during which the URA flash estimate registered a positive change of 1.3%. This brought the year-to-date change for 2019 to +0.6%.
The uptick was led by a strong growth of 3% in the Rest of Central Region (RCR) and 1.5% in the Core Central Region (CCR) prices.
节选自：https://www.propertyguru.com.sg/property-management-news/amp/2019/7/181438/one-year-on-how-the-cooling-measures-came-and-shook-up-the-housing-market
97的危机大概率不会重演，以坡目前的家庭收入水平，还有存款水平，别说组屋，公寓依然没超过可负担水平。别忘了政府并不需要确保100%或者50%的人口买的起公寓，目前依然78%左右人口住在组屋，他们只需要确保 top 20%的家庭买的起公寓就好，虽然这些人买二手组屋和EC并不受限制。去年top 20% 收入家庭底线大概是一年200K， 接近华新“贫困线”...
降温也好、升温也好，坡的房产政策并不是一拍脑袋想出来的（大马可能真的就是拍了一下屁股想的），而是经过反复讨论考虑了各种情况，提前制定的，早就摆在部长的桌上，无非是等待一个契机他们觉得有必要就挑一个宣布出来。
别的不说，假如ABSD减半会不会买气大增？政府加税时候开发商会打折，政府减税时候你觉得开发商会不会涨价？屋主会不会涨价？？
对于刚需来说，如果不是身份的限制，越等估计只会越买不起。去年加税5%，首付加5%之后，新闻标题的非有地私宅的价格指数下跌貌似没有超过1%，不管是第一套还是第二套买家，你觉得是更买的起了还是更买不起了？
Based on caveats lodged, we saw a -57% reduction in resale volume from 3,951 units in 2Q2018 to 1,689 units in 2Q2019. New sales volume on the other hand, fell by just -3%, with 2,215 units in 2Q2018 to 2,147 units in 2Q2019.
Government reduced private housing supply under the GLS programme for 2H2019 by 15%.
Despite that, home prices remained relatively stable, with the price index rising by just 0.5% over the last two quarters of 2018, and registered just a slight dip in the first quarter of the year. But in a surprising turn of events, home prices unexpectedly rose again in 2Q2019
As mentioned above, after two consecutive quarters of decline, private home prices rose unexpectedly in 2Q2019, during which the URA flash estimate registered a positive change of 1.3%. This brought the year-to-date change for 2019 to +0.6%.
The uptick was led by a strong growth of 3% in the Rest of Central Region (RCR) and 1.5% in the Core Central Region (CCR) prices.
节选自：https://www.propertyguru.com.sg/property-management-news/amp/2019/7/181438/one-year-on-how-the-cooling-measures-came-and-shook-up-the-housing-market
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