tat chart I saw it every time when correction comes!
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作者:xiaohu (等级:6 - 驾轻就熟,发帖:1904) 发表:2007-09-07 18:01:22  楼主  关注此帖
If history is by any guide,MACD indicator (and other major ones) are actually have a dead cross near 28/Sep 1987 and 7th Oct 1987, which warned everyone long there. But Now, DOW just had its major indicators crossed lovely at the bottom, this is Point One. And Before that, people actually did their business as usual, without any panic selling like previous 2 weeks in US. I think only a lot of evidents(N>=30) can establish one point from statistical point of view. Hope there are other more evidences to convince people :)
tat chart I saw it every time when correction comes!
my udnerstading is " See Light Death"
战虽有阵,而勇为本;丧虽有礼,而哀为本;士虽有学,而行为本。
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作者:xiaohu (等级:6 - 驾轻就熟,发帖:1904) 发表:2007-09-07 18:06:20  2楼
my point is not that history will repeatmy point is to remind ppl of risk. anyway, we hav to be consistent in our logic to invest/speculate, i.e Why do we look at charts n technical indicators if we dun look at this? ^_^ (My taking is we dun look at either seriously, but i could hav argued the same thing 10 or 28 days ago n things panned out well, errr..against me)
sometime courage is everything!
courage makes me 80% hold on 17Aug.
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作者:xiaohu (等级:6 - 驾轻就熟,发帖:1904) 发表:2007-09-07 18:17:24  3楼
no point justifying ur rational by what has happenedif u hav oppty making less risky money, no point having so much courage. i hold my view this is not the time to take big view of mkt n pair/event trading shld dominate.
what I want to say had been repeated by many great investors in the history,
I quote it below:

"people always have fear when they are supposed to have hope, and alwayse have hope when they are supposed to fear."

I am not a gambler, but I have courage.
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作者:xiaohu (等级:6 - 驾轻就熟,发帖:1904) 发表:2007-09-07 18:31:39  4楼
this is generally true but not always truen yet again it missed the point - u shldnt have fear at the wrong time doesnt mean u shouldnt hav fear my view is, as posted below n in msg to speculist, neutral on singapore mkt. (but this doesnt mean i dun buy) great investor takes long term view, which i dun doubt, but are do u think they "bottom fishing" now (if this is really the bottom)? ^_^ i suspect they probably hav built positions a few years back.
wow, I have no comment.
there is no such thing like "real bottom" because all the bottom are temporary.

cutloss need courage, but buy dip needs more!
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