原油价格对股市的影响不可谓不太，但小弟至今对其认识还不是很深。可否在此讨论一下油价与个热门股票的关联?
以下是小弟之愚见，不对之处还请多多指正。
视油价上升为利好消息的股票有：
1。Marine Sector: Kepple, SembMarine
2。石油公司: SPC，CAO(??)
视油价上升为利空消息的股票有：
这可就多了
1。航空公司：SIA
2。船运公司：NOL
3。运输公司：SMRT, ComfortDelGro ,SBS,
3。以石油为原料的公司：ChinaEnergy[sunfire (6-14 23:43, Long long ago)]
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简单啊。你拿10年的油价纪录和这些股票纪录然后跑个correlation 就知道了啊。
这个是纯数学问题。
可以给个大体的感觉。
不过这种功课不是人人都愿意做的。[speculatist (6-15 9:40, Long long ago)]
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貌似有理，但是经不起推敲。多动脑筋是值得表扬的。
石油从20上到50，SPC飙涨，50-70，SPC长时间盘整，滞后整个大盘；
2003-2007,SIA更加从13+涨到18+，期间石油上涨多少？
重做！
[tangba (6-15 11:03, Long long ago)]
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(引用 tangba:貌似有理，但是经不起推敲。多动脑筋是值得表扬的。 石油从20上到50，SPC飙涨，50-70，SPC长时间盘整，滞后整个大盘； 2003-2007,SIA更...)oil price is only one factor to be considered, may not be the deciding one[sunfire (6-16 3:17, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]4楼
(引用 tangba:貌似有理，但是经不起推敲。多动脑筋是值得表扬的。
石油从20上到50，SPC飙涨，50-70，SPC长时间盘整，滞后整个大盘；
2003-2007,SIA更...)航空公司为了避免油价冲击，都有一些措施，比如航油的选择权来避险影响大不大，要看这些公司的管理层是否足够精明，足够深谋远虑，
影响肯定有，
否则SIA的增长会更加有力，
不过不会是简单的跷跷板[halley (6-16 9:40, Long long ago)]
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Oil prices strike nine-month peaks Posted: 19 June 2007 0402 hrsOil prices strike nine-month peaks
Posted: 19 June 2007 0402 hrs
Photos 1 of 1
Oil rig in the North Sea
NEW YORK : World oil prices climbed on Monday to their highest peaks since early September, mostly on concerns about about tight gasoline supplies in the United States and unrest in Nigeria, analysts said.
New York's main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in July, jumped 1.09 dollars to close at 69.09 dollars per barrel.
In London, Brent North Sea crude for August delivery rose 71 cents to settle at 72.18 dollars per barrel.
Oil futures leapt for the fourth straight trading session, driven partly by traders' concerns about low US gasoline reserves during the ongoing driving season, when demand spikes as many Americans take to the roads for their summer vacations.
Last week oil prices gained five percent in New York and four percent in London after the US Department of Energy revealed Wednesday that US gasoline inventories were unchanged at 201.5 million barrels in the week ended June 8.
The report surprised market consensus expectations of a build in gasoline stocks, which are below the level a year ago, after five consecutive weekly increases.
"Gasoline is going to be tight this summer," Calyon analyst Mike Wittner said.
Although the New York benchmark opened slightly lower Monday on profit taking, the barrel price surged as high as 69.15 dollars about a half hour before the market closed, trading at levels last seen in early September 2006.
International political tensions also were propping up prices.
"There are plenty of bullish themes to support prices at the moment, with supply disruptions in Nigeria, concerns about Iran's refusal to halt nuclear enrichment, the Atlantic hurricane season and now concerns about fighting in Israel," noted Sucden analyst Michael Davies in London.
Nigerian unions on Monday delayed the start of a general strike by two days but warned that when it did begin on Wednesday it could hit oil exports from Africa's biggest producer.
Unions had given the government until midnight Sunday to reverse a doubling of value-added tax and a 15 percent hike in fuel prices, and review a decision to sell two state-owned oil refineries.
They also called for the implementation of a recent 15 percent wage increase.
"If a nationwide strike in Nigeria, scheduled to begin on Wednesday, is not resolved quickly, and, if this latest Nigerian violence also shuts in more production, the crude oil market should have limited downside potential," said Mike Fitzpatrick at Man Financial.
Nigeria is Africa's biggest oil producer and the world's sixth largest exporter, accounting for 2.6 million barrels a day, but a quarter of this has been lost to unrest and a spate of kidnappings of foreigners in the volatile oil-producing south.
US oil giant Chevron said Monday that about 20 armed youths had occupied an oil pumping facility in southern Nigeria over the weekend, but the military stormed the facility and forced the youths to flee.
The official said that the seizure was costing it 42,000 barrels of oil per day and that the facility had not yet resumed operations.
"The situation in Nigeria is having its impact," said one trader, who wished to remain anonymous. - AFP/de
[forpc (6-19 5:59, Long long ago)]
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