本地房地产前景不乐观The housing market in Singapore is heading for a prolonged downturn and overall private home prices are forecast to fall between 22 and 26 per cent in the next three years, Daiwa Research said. “We believe the residential property market could remain depressed for several years, triggered initially by a likely forthcoming gross domestic product slowdown (in 2012) and lingering global economic uncertainty,” it said. From late next year, Daiwa said, structural issues such as the rapid build-up in unsold inventory in the primary market and vacant rental units will take centre stage and keep home prices and rents in check for several years. The mass-market segment will hold up slightly better than high-end properties, supported by better affordability and the resilience in the resale prices of Housing and Development Board flats, Daiwa said. The house has downgraded its view of Singapore’s property sector to “Negative” from “Neutral”, adding that “it is hard for us to see the dev (more...)

如果在真的跌20%，那HDB也不保险拿大巴窑来说，现在全新的大巴窑的二手公寓也就一百一二十万点，如果跌百分之二十多到了八九十万的话，谁还会去买七十多万的HDB呢？应该至少降到六十多才有吸引力吧。

而且说实话目前的估价也就是五十多万COV就要十多万。这样算下来就算是买六十多万的，也要出十四五万现金。和七八十万的公寓的首付差不多。要是我的话我宁愿买公寓了。