用美金作RMB的proxy, 用奥币或欧元作SGD的proxy,杠杆用1:1, 可行吗?
typical fx account leverage 50-400
i didn't do this, but i think it's a viable solution.
here is the theory, for example, one 10K account, assume maxium loss 10% (i.e. SGD appreciated 10%), leverage 50, good for a 100K notional hedge
when open, 2k margin used
if sgd appreciate 8%, 10k margin used. (need pop up money to account, since you are hedging you should 'make money' in u sgd assets')
if sgd depreciate 8%, e.g., you account will value 10K + 8k unrealized = 18k. 8k is the hedging gain.
so be careful on your notional hedge amount and margin level.
and counterparty risk need attention as well.
btw, i personally feel rmb/usd rate will be much more stable than Aus/SGD or EUR/SGD. if you short AUS long USD to hedge your SGD, it's cross-hedging which abviously introduces more uncertainties.
cross-hedge when 1) direct hedge not possible, or 2) you try to make extra profit (other than hedge)
here is the theory, for example, one 10K account, assume maxium loss 10% (i.e. SGD appreciated 10%), leverage 50, good for a 100K notional hedge
when open, 2k margin used
if sgd appreciate 8%, 10k margin used. (need pop up money to account, since you are hedging you should 'make money' in u sgd assets')
if sgd depreciate 8%, e.g., you account will value 10K + 8k unrealized = 18k. 8k is the hedging gain.
so be careful on your notional hedge amount and margin level.
and counterparty risk need attention as well.
btw, i personally feel rmb/usd rate will be much more stable than Aus/SGD or EUR/SGD. if you short AUS long USD to hedge your SGD, it's cross-hedging which abviously introduces more uncertainties.
cross-hedge when 1) direct hedge not possible, or 2) you try to make extra profit (other than hedge)