现在大概是3100点,已经跌下16%,个人相信熊市已经确立
这个话还早.个人认为.
可能不同的分析方法有不同的对熊市的定义吧。
我定义熊市是根据DOW Theory的定义的。
in long term trend, (from months to years in the chart)
1. breaking long term trendline.
2. market fail to make higher high and market made lower low to previous correction (this time, Feb 27 was comparison)
3. market break down from line consolidation at the lower side and confirmed .
现在1已经满足,2 满足了一半,3 暂时可能还没来临。
总之破了2931,才开始考虑是否熊市开始的问题。
当然这都是根据某种系统来决定的。
我定义熊市是根据DOW Theory的定义的。
in long term trend, (from months to years in the chart)
1. breaking long term trendline.
2. market fail to make higher high and market made lower low to previous correction (this time, Feb 27 was comparison)
3. market break down from line consolidation at the lower side and confirmed .
现在1已经满足,2 满足了一半,3 暂时可能还没来临。
总之破了2931,才开始考虑是否熊市开始的问题。
当然这都是根据某种系统来决定的。