小心为妙：新加坡住宅供应过剩严重！About 49,700 new homes expected to enter the market by FY2015, following FY2014’s 50,000 new completions, said OCBC and reported in the media. The figure is expected to increase to 73,600 by FY2016, with the estimates including DBSS, HDB and Executive Condominium (EC) completions. “Assuming a six million population target by 2020 from the latest population white paper, we forecast average population growth at approximately 86,000 individuals per annum from 2014 to 2020,” said OCBC. “Assuming a conservative three persons per household, this translates to an incremental demand of approximately 29,000 physical homes per year, which points to a fairly clear physical oversupply situation ahead.” But OCBC cautioned the level of unsold pipeline held by developers currently stands at 36,000 units. This is significantly lower compared to the historical 10-year average of 41,000 units. “While developers are likely to ease prices ahead to move inventory, we do not foresee a f (more...)

中介公司一般不会说房价大跌的，如果大跌的话谁还买房？这不是砸自己生意么？

中介公司一般不会说房价大跌的，如果大跌的话谁还买房？这不是砸自己生意么？

还是挺看好坡上房地产的有人口流入 就跌不到哪里去 人口白皮书不是在那里嘛 ep-pr-cz 一步一步顶房地产

像以前一样暴利可能没那么容易了增长或者保值 我还是挺看好 毕竟有外来人口不断涌入

这几年盖了太多的楼了。身边的绿地，树林很多都被高楼取代了。现在抬头看到的都是楼，天都看不到了。也该跌一跌了，房子太贵了。

经济学小白求科普为啥美国加息，坡县就一定会跟着加息？？我只知道现在世界上不同国家的利率完全不同啊。中国，澳洲、印度都很高，但新加坡 欧洲很低，欧洲甚至是负利率。。 美国是退出QE不假，但日本和欧洲刚刚开始QE啊 那为啥美国加息，坡县一定是跟着美国走呢？？

小心为妙：新加坡住宅供应过剩严重！About 49,700 new homes expected to enter the market by FY2015, following FY2014’s 50,000 new completions, said OCBC and reported in the media. The figure is expected to increase to 73,600 by FY2016, with the estimates including DBSS, HDB and Executive Condominium (EC) completions. “Assuming a six million population target by 2020 from the latest population white paper, we forecast average population growth at approximately 86,000 individuals per annum from 2014 to 2020,” said OCBC. “Assuming a conservative three persons per household, this translates to an incremental demand of approximately 29,000 physical homes per year, which points to a fairly clear physical oversupply situation ahead.” But OCBC cautioned the level of unsold pipeline held by developers currently stands at 36,000 units. This is significantly lower compared to the historical 10-year average of 41,000 units. “While developers are likely to ease prices ahead to move inventory, we do not foresee a f (more...)

公民当然也要交税啊，只是比外国人和PR交的少罢了新加坡买任何房产都要交税啊

公民不是少一点点 我要强调的是额外税 那可是总价的x% 要现金的。。。还是用数据说话吧 无论哪套房子 公民PR都是基本税3% 重点在额外税的征收改变 PR：第一套额外5%！ 公民：0% PR：第二套额外10%！公民：7%！ PR：第三套及以上10%！ 公民：10%！

这些我都知道啊，我只是纠正你楼下说的公民第一套不交税的说法公民第一套只是不交额外买方印花税而已

这些数据远远不够分析供需走势首先ocbc说的这每年增的这29000已经算高估了。他们肯定不会都来买房的，肯定要有一些租房的需求。这个数据可以说不准确。 但是新加坡人也要买房，这29000只是因为人口增加带来的增量。加上3年pr不准买hdb策略造成的部分压抑，在未来几年也会释放。所以这个数据其实完全不能用来预测每年的需求。 其次每年50000，60000的completion中，有多少已经卖出去了？即使算上condo，我估计至少60%已经卖出去了。加上部分人会卖掉原房子，每年50000，60000的completion能带来一半的空房源也就是25000-30000？这个数据也是不准确的。 然后，未来几年政府供应会如何？如果房市不好，政府供应可能也会大滑坡。 所以这些数据看看就好，政府本身没有公布出来的数据更准确，他们更有数。房价该升该降完全政府控制着。

PR三年内不给买组屋，有刚需的还是会买房，房子可不仅仅是个投资产品对大多数普通百姓而言，还是居住的必需品吧，尤其如今房租比房贷月供贵的市场而言。

小心为妙：新加坡住宅供应过剩严重！About 49,700 new homes expected to enter the market by FY2015, following FY2014’s 50,000 new completions, said OCBC and reported in the media. The figure is expected to increase to 73,600 by FY2016, with the estimates including DBSS, HDB and Executive Condominium (EC) completions. “Assuming a six million population target by 2020 from the latest population white paper, we forecast average population growth at approximately 86,000 individuals per annum from 2014 to 2020,” said OCBC. “Assuming a conservative three persons per household, this translates to an incremental demand of approximately 29,000 physical homes per year, which points to a fairly clear physical oversupply situation ahead.” But OCBC cautioned the level of unsold pipeline held by developers currently stands at 36,000 units. This is significantly lower compared to the historical 10-year average of 41,000 units. “While developers are likely to ease prices ahead to move inventory, we do not foresee a f (more...)

我自己就在高点买过...刚需的话只要自己负担得起，啥时候买没差，只有一套房自己住的话，房价涨跌跟你也都没关系，反正也不可能卖了套现睡大街， 自己注意控制财政预算做好功课和准备就好。这也是政府为什么要出TDSR和MSR限制的原因。不控制的话过分借贷，非理性投资才会出问题。

涨没关跌有关自住，买了房，同样首付 房价涨了，没可能套现，因为房价全部都涨了。 房价跌了，当时一样的首付，可以买到条件更好的房子。 这也是为什么房市买涨不买跌的道理，对了，这只是从经济角度思考问题，太理性了，但人是感性动物。

我都说是刚需，只要租一间房就能过的那不叫刚需这种我也不建议买，再等等看。除非钱多没地方花，恩，这个可以帮忙的。 要是拖家带口有老有小那租房还是挺痛苦的

小心为妙：新加坡住宅供应过剩严重！About 49,700 new homes expected to enter the market by FY2015, following FY2014’s 50,000 new completions, said OCBC and reported in the media. The figure is expected to increase to 73,600 by FY2016, with the estimates including DBSS, HDB and Executive Condominium (EC) completions. “Assuming a six million population target by 2020 from the latest population white paper, we forecast average population growth at approximately 86,000 individuals per annum from 2014 to 2020,” said OCBC. “Assuming a conservative three persons per household, this translates to an incremental demand of approximately 29,000 physical homes per year, which points to a fairly clear physical oversupply situation ahead.” But OCBC cautioned the level of unsold pipeline held by developers currently stands at 36,000 units. This is significantly lower compared to the historical 10-year average of 41,000 units. “While developers are likely to ease prices ahead to move inventory, we do not foresee a f (more...)

小心为妙：新加坡住宅供应过剩严重！About 49,700 new homes expected to enter the market by FY2015, following FY2014’s 50,000 new completions, said OCBC and reported in the media. The figure is expected to increase to 73,600 by FY2016, with the estimates including DBSS, HDB and Executive Condominium (EC) completions. “Assuming a six million population target by 2020 from the latest population white paper, we forecast average population growth at approximately 86,000 individuals per annum from 2014 to 2020,” said OCBC. “Assuming a conservative three persons per household, this translates to an incremental demand of approximately 29,000 physical homes per year, which points to a fairly clear physical oversupply situation ahead.” But OCBC cautioned the level of unsold pipeline held by developers currently stands at 36,000 units. This is significantly lower compared to the historical 10-year average of 41,000 units. “While developers are likely to ease prices ahead to move inventory, we do not foresee a f (more...)

小心为妙：新加坡住宅供应过剩严重！About 49,700 new homes expected to enter the market by FY2015, following FY2014’s 50,000 new completions, said OCBC and reported in the media. The figure is expected to increase to 73,600 by FY2016, with the estimates including DBSS, HDB and Executive Condominium (EC) completions. “Assuming a six million population target by 2020 from the latest population white paper, we forecast average population growth at approximately 86,000 individuals per annum from 2014 to 2020,” said OCBC. “Assuming a conservative three persons per household, this translates to an incremental demand of approximately 29,000 physical homes per year, which points to a fairly clear physical oversupply situation ahead.” But OCBC cautioned the level of unsold pipeline held by developers currently stands at 36,000 units. This is significantly lower compared to the historical 10-year average of 41,000 units. “While developers are likely to ease prices ahead to move inventory, we do not foresee a f (more...)