跳水时代来了么?? Big jump in small car COEs soonLOWER PRICES? There will be 11,298 COEs available to car buyers in the February-April quota - 23 per cent more than in the previous three months, and the supply of Cat A COEs will be 41.3 per cent bigger than it is today. FILE PHOTO: THE STRAITS TIMES
Car buyers can look forward to lower prices in the coming months, on the back of a substantial increase in certificate of entitlement (COE) quota.
According to figures released by the Land Transport Authority (LTA) yesterday, there will be 11,298 COEs available to car buyers in the February-April quota - 23 per cent more than in the previous three months, and more than double the supply from the same time last year.
The biggest beneficiaries will be those buying smaller cars, as the supply of Category A COEs (for cars up to 1,600cc and 130bhp) will be 41.3 per cent bigger than it is today.
The supply of Category B COEs (for cars above 1,600cc or 130bhp) will see a growth of nearly 27 per cent.
Park Byung Joon, an urban transport management expert at SIM University, said the new quota should result in lower premiums for Cat A "for sure", and "a little bit for Cat B".
He envisaged Cat A premiums falling by more than 10 per cent.
Ron Lim, general manager of Nissan agent Tan Chong Motor, noted that the Cat A quota is now "pretty close to the magical number" of 1,000 COEs per tender, which he said would result in a meaningful drop in prices.
"It'll be interesting to see if a correction will set in," he said.
He added that the enlarged supply is also "timely" because the Singapore Motorshow starting today is likely to lead to higher car sales. "It should absorb the increase in demand," he said.
Including certificates for commercial vehicles and motorcycles, the February - April quota will have 14,114 COEs. This is 18.3 per cent more than the previous three-month quota.
The new quota is the first with a reduced 0.25 per cent cap on annual vehicle population growth. The cap has been lowered systematically in recent years - from 3 per cent to 1.5 per cent in 2009, then to 1 per cent in 2012 and 0.5 per cent in 2013 - as the Government addresses what it deems to be an unsustainable vehicle population growth rate.
Had the growth rate remained at 0.5 per cent, it would have bumped up the new quota by almost 5 percentage points.
LTA added that the latest quota includes a smaller Open category, which is now made up of 10 per cent of COEs from each of the other four categories, instead of 15 per cent before.
This is to address a vehicle population growth pattern that has been skewed in favour of cars. Even though the Open category was originally meant to be a "safety valve" to prevent overheated prices in the other categories, it quickly became the sole domain of cars - especially bigger models. This is because sellers of big cars had bigger profit margins and could outbid others.
Dr Park pointed out that the February-April quota is just the start. Like other industry watchers, he expects that the next several quotas will be even bigger, with supply peaking some time next year.
via http://goo.gl/XFvJsu
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该帖荣获当日十大第4，奖励楼主12分以及18华新币，时间：2015-01-16 22:00:02。[功夫熊猫 (1-16 10:28, Long long ago)]
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如果价格能降43%的话可以考虑买一辆xmlzj [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [trim (1-16 10:50, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]2楼
(引用 trim:如果价格能降43%的话可以考虑买一辆xmlzj)... 太贪心了吧[功夫熊猫 (1-16 10:53, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]3楼
这新闻一出观望的都进场了，也许最后价格不降反升了 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [haidaoyu (1-16 11:04, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]4楼
(引用 haidaoyu:这新闻一出观望的都进场了，也许最后价格不降反升了)所以是邪恶的新闻啊xmlzj [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [桃娘 (1-16 11:09, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]5楼
COE quota 多了是因为杀的车多了？车主杀了车不是还要买新的吗？开车的人很难再去习惯不开车的生活方式了。这样的话，其实demand and supply 同时增加了，COE能便宜多少还是个问号。 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [vickychen (1-16 11:32, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]6楼
(引用 vickychen:COE quota 多了是因为杀的车多了？车主杀了车不是还要买新的吗？开车的人很难再去习惯不开车的生活方式了。这样的话，其实demand and sup...)我觉得还是会有一些影响车主通常不想放弃驾车是没错。但一部分车主可能会被price out，特别是红牌车主。我的一个朋友就在非常纠结中。
杀车的COE回到系统里有时间差。所以在杀车高峰期开始时，多换车的人抢还比较少的COE。现在杀车高峰期已经一段时间了。希望这个效应可以缓解。
我的车已经9年了，也是天天盼着COE跌呢。[大叔一名 (1-16 12:00, Long long ago)]
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(引用 大叔一名:我觉得还是会有一些影响车主通常不想放弃驾车是没错。但一部分车主可能会被price out，特别是红牌车主。我的一个朋友就在非常纠结中。 杀...)哦原来有时间差。那你打算提早杀车现在进场？还是等到明年？ [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [vickychen (1-16 12:15, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]8楼
(引用 vickychen:哦原来有时间差。那你打算提早杀车现在进场？还是等到明年？)我的车是10K的COE现在也没什么大毛病。新车好处比较省油，但一年最多也就省几百块。也许少一点维修费，一年也就几百块。实在不容易下决心提前杀。。。[大叔一名 (1-16 12:22, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]9楼
(引用 大叔一名:我的车是10K的COE现在也没什么大毛病。新车好处比较省油，但一年最多也就省几百块。也许少一点维修费，一年也就几百块。实在不容易下决心...)哈哈大叔的帐算的真明白。明年COE quota也不少吧。 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [vickychen (1-16 12:35, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]10楼
应该不会，看报纸说是因为到期的车多了ditto [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [sonata.zm (1-16 13:04, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]11楼
(引用 大叔一名:我觉得还是会有一些影响车主通常不想放弃驾车是没错。但一部分车主可能会被price out，特别是红牌车主。我的一个朋友就在非常纠结中。 杀...)我对我车年底到期也在天天盼着COE跌呢 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [小寒 (1-16 13:30, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]12楼
(引用 大叔一名:我的车是10K的COE现在也没什么大毛病。新车好处比较省油，但一年最多也就省几百块。也许少一点维修费，一年也就几百块。实在不容易下决心...)大叔入场时吆喝一声，哈哈 [本文发送自华新手机Wap版] [double11 (1-16 13:30, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]13楼
太好了 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [tnwater123 (1-17 21:38, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]14楼
(引用 vickychen:COE quota 多了是因为杀的车多了？车主杀了车不是还要买新的吗？开车的人很难再去习惯不开车的生活方式了。这样的话，其实demand and sup...)很多人会买不起车因为贷款问题，过去都是首付几百块钱就能买车，那些马来人没有什么积蓄，但都买车了，现在首付至少都得五六万，那些人是拿不出这些钱的。所以会有一部分车主不得不放弃开车。[Camty (1-17 22:25, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]15楼