美股什么时候抄底？In a dataset dating back to 1928, returns of -4% or worse for the S&P 500 have only occurred 146 times. Since the end of World War II, we have only seen 51 days this weak in 75 years. Down 4% days are rare, and they tend to cluster in economic recessions.
Putting together the cumulative weak days on Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday and we are entering historic territory. The S&P 500 has shed 10.7% over these past four trading sessions.
. We have not had a four day selloff this bad since the financial crisis in 2008. (-17.2% in four days ending October 9th, 2008)
. Before that, we had not experienced as bad of a 4 day stretch since July 2002 when the announcement of accounting regularities at Worldcom spooked a market already grappling with the tech bubble deflation and post-9/11 uncertainty. (-11.96% in four days ending July 23, 2002)
. Before the 2002 sell-off, it was the worst four day period since August 1998 when global assets were frightened by the prospect of a Russian debt default. (-12.41% ending August 31, 1998)
. Prior to 1998, you have to go back to the historic 1987 market sell-off. (-28.5% ending October 19th, 1987)
. Before 1987, you have to go back a quarter-century to the Kennedy Slide of 1962. (-10.97% ending May 28, 1962)
. Prior to that sell-off, you have to go back to May 1940, which an astute reader recently pointed out was the German blitzkreig into France (-15.1% through May 14, 1940)
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[dazzle (2-29 20:25, Long ago)]
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我准备小额多次抄底我用的是ib，交易费用极低，所以每次拿不了很准的情况下，就小额抄底，例如昨天一开盘我就抄了5股QQQ。[emf (2-29 20:35, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]2楼
(引用 emf:我准备小额多次抄底我用的是ib，交易费用极低，所以每次拿不了很准的情况下，就小额抄底，例如昨天一开盘我就抄了5股QQQ。)5股就是10W刀已经录了3k了吧
你打算接下来怎么加？
[dazzle (2-29 20:48, Long ago)]
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就在今日 机不可失 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [我爱读书 (2-29 20:49, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]4楼
(引用 emf:我准备小额多次抄底我用的是ib，交易费用极低，所以每次拿不了很准的情况下，就小额抄底，例如昨天一开盘我就抄了5股QQQ。)牛市买纳斯 熊市买标普我记得巴老讲过 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [dazzle (2-29 20:56, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]5楼
(引用 emf:我准备小额多次抄底我用的是ib，交易费用极低，所以每次拿不了很准的情况下，就小额抄底，例如昨天一开盘我就抄了5股QQQ。)请教ib全称是什么，交易费多少呀？ [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [omyga (2-29 21:05, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]6楼
(引用 dazzle:5股就是10W刀👏🏻已经录了3k了吧 你打算接下来怎么加？ ...)一股不是200多吗 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [cy1024 (2-29 21:17, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]7楼
(引用 dazzle:5股就是10W刀👏🏻已经录了3k了吧 你打算接下来怎么加？ ...)太抬举我了QQQ一股200出头，5股才1000刀呀，所以说是小额。[emf (2-29 21:35, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]8楼
我已经彻底放弃个股了买的都是QQQ，SPY，XLV等等的etf。[emf (2-29 21:37, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]9楼
(引用 emf:太抬举我了QQQ一股200出头，5股才1000刀呀，所以说是小额。)哦 想成手了对不起，想成手了，IB每次都是default 给100股的量，100股和1股都是收1块的commission对吧～ [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [dazzle (2-29 21:44, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]10楼
(引用 emf:我已经彻底放弃个股了买的都是QQQ，SPY，XLV等等的etf。)买指数省心嗯，感觉买指数挺好的，炒个股的费心费力，都是大神或者牛人，我也是打算盯着指数买。 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [dazzle (2-29 21:47, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]11楼
(引用 omyga:请教ib全称是什么，交易费多少呀？)Interactive broker [本文发送自华新手机Wap版] [Ora (2-29 23:32, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]12楼
(引用 Ora:Interactive broker)感谢 [本文发送自华新iOS APP] [omyga (3-1 9:22, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]13楼
买美股手续费多少啊IB是最便宜的吗[LuRenJia (3-1 9:25, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]14楼
看图形估计18000左右是这一波的底部不过要慢慢走，美股向来是熊短牛长，不过确定熊市以后还是得走4-5个月吧。今年6-7月的时候开始找找有没有机会然后慢慢买入吧，现在市场上等着抄底的人太多，不适合买。等大家都放弃抄底了以后再找机会比较好。 [本文发送自华新手机Wap版] [滚雪球 (3-1 9:43, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]15楼
(引用 emf:我准备小额多次抄底我用的是ib，交易费用极低，所以每次拿不了很准的情况下，就小额抄底，例如昨天一开盘我就抄了5股QQQ。)请问大家在新加坡怎么开ib的fully disclosed broker账户呀在ib的fully disclosed broker开户合适吗？ 推荐哪一家啊[七月的风 (3-1 11:51, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]16楼
其实没有什么几时抄底的问题基本原则是不涨不买，不跌不卖
没有抄底逃顶的说法
操作对头，任何时候都是好时候
持股的时候，做好保护措施-有很多工具可以用，这点美国比较强
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[笑天 (3-1 12:57, Long ago)]
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有特朗普在，以及2008年的经验，这次应该不会跌太多我认为上周五就是底了。25000是个很强的支撑。 [本文发送自华新手机Wap版] [悠然见南 (3-2 0:00, Long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]18楼
据我观察，今晚有几百点反弹未必是底
好股票可以买起，慢慢倒[医药法规 (3-2 9:02, Long ago)]
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忍不住 数据说话（峰峰值差）2007.10 .13930
2009.3.7600
跌6330,或45%+
2020.2.12 29520
2020.2.28 24720
跌4800.或 15 16%+
就是这样子
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[笑天 (3-2 9:14, Long ago)]
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