关于此图，请看
所在版块：狮城财经 发贴时间：2007-09-07 23:37

用户信息
复制本帖HTML代码
高亮: 今天贴 X 昨天贴 X 前天贴 X 
http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=finance_best&MsgID=5203

1987年的市场大崩盘总是熊派爱抄的热门话题,

现在的熊气冲天和三月初市场刚大跌时是何其相似. 那会就已经有人对1987 和2007 作了对比.
看看当时的对比很有意思, 转贴如下:


1987 versus 2007
I keep repeating I am not a fan of the 1987 parallel to 2007. I am not saying its impossible -- just less likely than other potential parallels (My choice is 1973, Doug Kass' is 1937).
Yet many readers keep drawing my attention to the 1987 conclusion. As a service to those of you who find this compelling, here is an overlay of the chart several of you have sent in.

Dow Industrials 1986-87 - 2006-07



[img]http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/images/2007/04/16/dow_8707_3.png[/img]


看上去真的很吓人.


结果,有好事者后来又重新作了对比, 不同的是归一成同样的尺度:


UPDATE: April 20, 2007 6:21am


This chart (courtesy of Charles) shows the scale of the run up between the two eras to be very different . . .

Dow 1987 and 2007, scaled to 100

[img]http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/images/2007/04/20/dow8707.jpg[/img]


原来有这么大差别的图, 也可以弄的如此相似. (对比上图) 只要不成比例关系的放大就可以了.

所以, 不要自己吓自己.
.
欢迎来到华新中文网，踊跃发帖是支持我们的最好方法!

　相关帖子 我要回复↙ ↗回到正文
Scary chart － AXL 　2007-09-07 17:42 (70 bytes , 713reads )
关于此图，请看 － 多空翻 　2007-09-07 23:37 (1192 bytes , 405reads )
图 － 多空翻 　2007-09-07 23:40 (90 bytes , 612reads )
stk market is not science － AXL 　2007-09-08 02:08 (45 bytes , 221reads )
If history is by any guide, － speculatist 　2007-09-07 17:59 (508 bytes , 344reads )
my point is not that history will repeat － AXL 　2007-09-07 18:02 (328 bytes , 393reads )
sometime courage is everything! － xiaohu 　2007-09-07 18:06 (36 bytes , 372reads )
no point justifying ur rational by what has happened － AXL 　2007-09-07 18:10 (171 bytes , 316reads )
what I want to say had been repeated by many great investors in the history, － xiaohu 　2007-09-07 18:17 (177 bytes , 362reads )
this is generally true but not always true － AXL 　2007-09-07 18:23 (420 bytes , 362reads )
wow, I have no comment. － xiaohu 　2007-09-07 18:31 (127 bytes , 333reads )
tat chart I saw it every time when correction comes! － xiaohu 　2007-09-07 18:01 (38 bytes , 268reads )
自己顶上来 值得一看的图 － AXL 　2007-09-07 17:57 (156 bytes , 287reads )